Latest analysis

The splintering of digital democracy

As younger generations enter the digital world, they are gravitating less to the “traditional” platforms — such as Facebook — and…

James Mortensen

A path to climate consensus

Staring down the risk of mutually assured climate-destruction, and increasingly dissatisfied populations, by 2035 the world will experience a…

Richard Yetsenga

Liberia: the canary in the social media coal mine?

To understand how the toxic information ecosystems of the future will inflame political divides and undermine democracy, Prue Clarke looks to how a…

Prue Clarke

The laundering of crazy and the future of democracy

Reduction in professional journalism in the digital age allows alternative truths and paranoid theories to take hold. What this means for the future…

Elise Thomas

Instability in the Middle East

Whilst the regions authoritarian leaders are likely to use COVID-19 as cover for increased control, environmental impacts are likely to cause greater…

Raihan Ismail

Network competition and the threat to liberal democracies

New technologies will become an element of geopolitical and social tension as society and industry adopt platforms outside of the view and reach of…

Chris Zappone

Citizen decision-making in a contested information environment

Until people can tangibly understand and conceptualise how influences on their decision-making at a micro level occurs, their ability to comprehend…

Nicole Matejic

Politics across the globe: a scenario

Social and technology trends will ensure that political governance will become more chaotic and dramatic, yet this need not result in poor governance…

Ryan Young

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Popular analysis

Asia’s increasingly volatile role in international order

Asia will go from being a global centre of economic growth and political stability, to a centre of economic power but political instability….

Jeffrey Wilson

The problem of hedonic adaption

The problem of hedonic adaption must be confronted, because not doing so will see democracy at risk of being replaced by technocracy in…

Tom Nichols

Australia faces a struggling Southeast Asia

Economic growth in Southeast Asia will taper off, regional integration will stagnate, and governments will move closer to…

Ben Bland

The coming era of big government

We are entering an era of ‘big government’ — governments around the world will have more power and control over markets and…

Yun Jiang

Why reducing global vulnerability is paramount

Without a shift from current trends that focus vulnerability on segments of society, the impact of conflating natural hazards will overwhelm the…

Mark Crosweller

The Futures Forecasting series

The goal of our Futures Forecasting series is to publish a range of plausible and realistic scenarios, based on current trends, that challenge our…

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Futures Analysis

Decision-makers have invested their attention in thinking about the present, not the future, for too long.

Understanding and anticipating plausible future is critical to making good decisions today and formulating policy ideas to prepare for them.

The National Security College Futures Hub brings together diverse groups of policy and subject-matter experts to translate the future into present day policy making.